4 Global Market Updates- 3 October, 2022

In this article, we have covered the highlights of global market news about the EUR/CHF, AUD/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CNH.

EUR/CHF is expected to rise to 0.9000 – Credit Suisse

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy rate pricing in the present markets is subject to upside risks, according to economists at Credit Suisse. As a result, the EUR/CHF is likely to decline.

Upside dangers to the policy rate of the SNB. “We reduced our EUR/CHF goal for the end of the fourth quarter from 0.9400 to 0.9000 and think this view is invalidated above 0.9955,” (down from 1.0060 previously). The dangers of this perspective include a drop in international inflation rates and a considerable SNB rate hike cycle lag.

“We anticipate the SNB to keep raising rates, and we see upside potential for the present market’s policy rate profile. Currently, the SNB expects inflation to be 3.0% in 2022, 2.4% in 2023, and 1.7% in 2024. These estimates lead us to assume that the actual policy rate is still outside the restricted zone.

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